SOCIOLOGICAL DELICACIES 6% in the right direction

Our sociologists have waited with bated breath, but not the results of the elections for the European parliament, as we would have expected, but rather the wondrous exit-poll of the "The Infopolitic Center for Studies and Research" (CSCI), which was announced with lots of fanfare by România TV, as "the only exit-poll in Romania", even though the institute isn't listed among those certified by the Central Electoral Office, which means that it didn't have the right to place its potential observers in the 500 meters protection area around the voting precincts and therefore could not have produced a sociologically rigorous exit-poll.

All the polling institutions posted mistaken numbers, beyond the allowed margin for error of 3%, about the results achieved by the PSD and its allies on Sunday, but the CSCI institute, used by România TV, is the worst offender when it comes to these exaggerated deviations.

The difference between the figure of 43%, estimated by CSCI for PSD and the figure of 37.4%, announced by the Central Electoral Bureau, is far greater than 3%.

It is nearly double.

The results of this exit poll can not be explained away through the absence of the operators that were supposed to collect the data: because from the website of the CSCI, we find out that its sociological data is collected by the "Operations Research" institute.

And "Operations Research" has been accredited by the Central Electoral Bureau.

So that is not the explanation.

The true "miracle" consists of the visible differences between the data supplied by "Operations Research" and "The Infopolitic Center for Studies and Research" (see the table), to which the latter added its own creative contribution by rounding up and down the figures they got from the former.

The two series of numbers do not paint a picture of the elections for the European parliament, but they are telling when it comes to the intentions to manipulate the masses of citizens, intentions which start from the owners of the polling institutes, go through the owners of the TV stations and, through their political masters, arrive to the ones who are the true beneficiaries of the sociological margins of error found in the polls.

It is said that "Operations Research" is the direct heir of the CCSB, owned by Dan Voiculescu, whose daughters own the Antena 1, 2 and 3 TV stations, who is also the founder of the Conservative Party, which is currently part of the governing alliance with the PSD, a former member of the communist political police ("Securitate"), who has left the "system" and is in danger of being sent to prison for economic crimes.

The magazine "Revista 22" recently wrote:

"CCSB was previously accused of manipulating the data in the polls. In June 2013, Mihai Moţoc, former managing director of the CCSB up until January, was saying that Voiculescu asked him to change the findings of some polls made by the institute. Moţoc said that Voiculescu tried at least 5-6 times to convince him to change the data of some polls, with the first attempt taking place in 2007. Just one day prior to the end of the electoral campaign, < Operations Research > conducted a poll which stated that the PSD-UNPR-PC alliance would get 45% of the votes, followed by PNL with 15%, PMP and PDL, both with 10%. The UDMR would get 6%, whereas PPDD and FC would not make the threshold of 5%, with 3-4% each".

In turn, CSCI, for which "Operations Research" collect sociological data, is coordinated by Dan Sultănescu, advisor to the prime-minister Victor Ponta,.

România TV, which broadcasted the CSCI exit poll, is owned by young PSD deputy Sebastian Ghiţă, nicknamed "Copilu" (ed. note: the child) (perhaps he was nicknamed that by Sorin Ovidiu Vîntu, before Ghiţă took his TV station away from him).

Some people suspect Ghiţă of being on the payroll of the SRI (Romanian Intelligence Service), which would make his activity in the Parliament to be very interesting, given that the is the vice-president of the Commission of the Chamber of Deputies in charge of auditing the Romanian Intelligence Service.

Ghiţă is a friend of prime-minister Ponta.

In light of all these connections, I would propose a speculative interpretation of the mistake of almost 6% which occurred in the exit poll of the CSCI.

Some say that the Romanian Intelligence Service is behind the government.

But according to the polls, the public thinks that Romania is going in the wrong direction, which means that it is the SRI itself that is taking us on the wrong path.

Since Romania TV belongs to the SRI, and it is the one that broadcasted an exit poll with a deviation of 6% compared to the actual results, it follows that for one night, the SRI has been guiding us down the wrong path, but based on a mistaken political orientation.

In other words, they have guided us down a path that involuntarily neared the right path.

But on the next day, the Central Electoral Bureau corrected the error.

Lucky us!

Had it not, we would have almost entered Paradise.