THE MISSION OF THE IMF ENDS The economy remains in stand-by

Izabela Sîrbu, Cătălin Deacu (Tradus de Cosmin Ghidoveanu)
Ziarul BURSA #English Section / 10 mai 2010

Jeffrey Franks: "The economy is still in a difficult situation" Unions are backing down

The Mission of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in Romania ends today, after two weeks of discussions and negotiations on the subject of the commitments of the Romanian authorities based on the stand-by agreement.

The final discussions between the IMF officials and the members of the Boc cabinet on the reforms that the Government wants to enact in the near future, intended to lower the budget deficit, were held over the last two days.

Government sources, quoted by Agerpres, claim that the Executive agreed with the IMF on a budget deficit target of 6.5%-6.8% of the GDP for 2010. The government announced in a communiqué that the steps which will be adopted will cause the budget deficit to drop below 7% of the GDP.

The quoted sources also claim that the Romanian authorities estimate the economy will grow 1% in 2010, but they are also considering more pessimistic scenarios (08% or even 0%).

The measures intended to lower public sector spending announced by president Traian Băsescu include a 25% reduction of the wages of public sector workers, a 15% cut of pensions and of unemployment aids as well as redistributing subsidies to people who truly need them.

Government sources, quoted by Mediafax, claim that the IMF accepts the reduction of the budget deficit by cutting wage and pension expenses, instead of requesting a raise in taxes, subject to the funds thus saved being used exclusively for investments.

The head of the IMF mission, Jeffrey Franks, said that the Romania is still in a difficult economic condition, and said that the Fund would announce the results of the evaluation mission today.

The release of the fifth EUR 850 million tranche of the loan from the IMF depends on the outcome of the mission, as well as on the way the cost-cutting measures will be implemented. The officials of the IMF have mentioned that the decision on the best ways to cut public spending rests with the Romanian government.

The reforms are stipulated in the letter of intent, a document which the government decided to adopt in the first session. The measures which were announced have caused the anger of unions, which threatened with strikes and wide-scale protests.

The leaders of the main union centers yesterday had an emergency meeting with president Traian Băsescu, just as they had almost completed the schedule of the protests. Professional associations urged unions to hold off protests to avoid worsening the condition of Romania"s economy. After three hours of negotiations, on Tuesday the unions decided to resume discussions with the government.

Reactions of political leaders after the IMF meeting

Yesterday, the delegation of the IMF met with the representatives of the political parties in the opposition, which criticized very harshly the reforms that the Government plans to adopt and claim that changes in the government are necessary. Finance minister Sebastian Vlădescu was summoned today before the Senate to provide additional details on the negotiations with the IMF. Crin Antonescu: "(...) We have no solution for exiting the crisis. We don"t have the slightest guarantee that we will see a true recovery and true economic growth. What we have here is a placing of the burden on the shoulders of the weakest members of society of unprecedented cynicism (...)". Mircea Geoană: "(...) It is obvious that the Băsescu-Boc government has decided to keep its cronies in the public administration and instead of laying them off it has decided to cut wages and pensions for everybody else (...)".

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