English
The Social Democratic Party won the parliamentary elections, being credited in the exit poll prepared by CURS with 25.7% of the over 9.4 million votes cast, and in the INSCOP exit poll with 24% of the votes. PSD is followed by AUR, which stood, according to INSCOP, at 21% and at 19.3%, according to CURS, after which, almost equally, are USR with 15.7% and PNL with 15.3% in the two exit polls. According to the data from 9:00 p.m. of the two exit polls, SOS, POT and UDMR, which have passed the 5% threshold, would also enter Parliament, but it is possible that the SENS Party, which was credited with 3.5% of the votes at that time, when the polling stations in the country had not yet closed and when voting would continue for many hours abroad, could also enter the Legislative Assembly.
At this moment, four years after the 2020 elections, the structure of the Parliament whose mandate will end this month is as follows - Senate: PSD - 33.82%, PNL - 27.94%, USR - 18.38%, AUR - 9.56%, UDMR - 6.61%, Forţa Dreptei - 2.2%, PPU - 0.73%, PNR - 0.73%; Chamber of Deputies: PSD - 32.12%, PNL - 23.94%, USR - 16.66%, AUR - 9.39%, UDMR - 6.06%, Group of ethnic minorities - 5.45%, Forţa Dreptei - 4.24%, PPU -1.21%, Independents - 0.9%, PNR - 0.73%.
Practically, according to the above results, it can be said that pro-European parties total around 60% of the electorate's preferences, which does not resonate at all with the wishes of the sovereignist and nationalist parties in our country.
The exit poll results place us in Scenario 2 presented yesterday in the BURSA newspaper, in which, in the event that Călin Georgescu wins the presidential elections, he will have a hostile, pro-European government and parliament. Scenario 2 reflects a presidential mandate more limited in action, characterized by economic stagnation and institutional conflict, but with less severe effects on international relations and the economy.
The results of the exit polls from the parliamentary elections also show us the potential of the sovereignists which, if the results are confirmed, is not one that would take Călin Georgescu to Cotroceni, but Elena Lasconi, which would outline another scenario regarding the cohabitation of the President-Government plus Parliament in the next 4 years.
From what happened yesterday, we also note that SOS, Diana Şoşoacă's party, is likely not to enter Parliament, and even if it does, it shows us why she participated in the commemoration of Corneliu Zelea Codreanu: because she wants to remain in the spotlight. In some political circles it is said that remaining in the spotlight is the goal of terrorist groups.
In any case, the fact that the sovereignists gathered around 30% of the votes in the parliamentary elections shows where the votes for Călin Georgescu came from and the fact that he cannot gather more than that and it is possible that in the second round of the presidential elections he will have big problems against Elena Lasconi, who according to an Inscop poll conducted yesterday would prevail with 40% against 28% against the sovereignist candidate.
As for the PSD and the PNL, the two parties received more votes in the parliamentary elections than their presidential candidates, which shows that with the respective offer for Cotroceni the social democrats and liberals have disregarded their own electorate.
After the announcement of the results, each camp posed as the winner, although mathematics tells us that there is only one winning camp when we add up the percentages obtained by the pro-European political formations.
Prime Minister Marcel Ciolacu declared: "Romanians have confirmed that the PSD is the main political force in the country. I understood exactly the responsibility we have towards the Romanians. I believe that we must look carefully at today's results, it is an important signal that the Romanians have sent to the political class. We must continue to develop the country with European money, but also to protect our identity, national values and faith. We will remain the guarantor of political and social balance in Romania".
The interim president of the PNL, Ilie Bolojan, stated: "We have two categories of voters, those who voted for us last week and those who returned to the PNL after we changed direction. The campaign is over and I say that the PNL will support what it approved last week: reforming the political world, state reform, development and decentralization projects".
The presidential candidate and president of the USR, Elena Lasconi said: "Many are worried about what is happening in the country, they are very scared. We, united, can do miracles. If we are united, the Russian bots on TikTok cannot destroy our democracy. (...) I think we need to recreate the political elite and give more credit to the intellectual and cultural elite in the country. (...) After what we have been through in these nightmare days, I have realized that this is about democracy in Romania, about remaining in the EU and NATO.
Instead, George Simion declared: "Today is the day when Romanians took their fate into their own hands. (...) We have long complained that far too few people vote, but in the last week we have witnessed a real attack on democracy, on freedom, on our national values. The Romanian people have spoken and the traitorous political class, which tried not to hear the voice of the Romanian people, at least now, in the 12th hour, I hope they will do so, to calm down from the abuses they have prepared, from the thought that the will of the people can be annulled, from the thought that the first round of the election can be annulled, from the thought that they can cling to power with their teeth".
MEP Diana Şoşoacă, president of SOS, spoke about the election fraud: Romania's National Day was fraud. We have false polls once again. I no longer believe in these polls since they asked me for 30,000 euros for a better positioning. SOS Romania has filed criminal complaints against the polling companies. It is a misdirection of the electorate and the scores are not real (...) We will also file criminal complaints against the television stations that presented these polls. We call on all sovereignist forces alongside SOS Romania to form a Government, even if it is a minority one. All the parties shown as winners in the exit polls are globalist parties, parties of the system. If you continue with this enormous fraud in the parliamentary elections, I tell you that I will demand the annulment of the parliamentary elections".
• Divided by the anniversary of the Great Union
The result of the first round of the presidential elections, which brought to the fore the sovereignist Călin Georgescu, who declared that for him only Romania matters and not the European Union and NATO, seems to have awakened the pro-European citizens with the right to vote in our country who came out en masse to vote in the parliamentary elections yesterday, recording the highest participation in the last 20 years in this type of electoral process. Over 9.4 million citizens voted yesterday by 9 p.m., almost 52.3%, a score that has not been reached since 2004.
In light of the threat of extremism, the PSD-PNL camel-ostrich, detested until now, suddenly became preferable to parties whose goal is the political isolation of our country internationally and the resumption of relations with the Russian Federation.
According to the results presented by exit polls, the celebration of the National Day or the anniversary of the Great Union of December 1, 1918 found a strongly polarized Romanian society in 2024. If on December 1, 1918, 1228 delegates from all corners of the country unanimously voted for the Alba Iulia Resolution, 106 years later, half of the descendants of those who forged the Great Union declare themselves pro-European, and the other half looks to a dark, authoritarian, extreme left or extreme right past.
The exit poll data presented last night at the close of the polls prove this polarization. Pro-European parties are credited with a total of 60% of the votes following the parliamentary elections, while conservatives, sovereignists and nationalists gathered 30% of the votes cast. It remains for the official count to confirm or deny the percentages presented by the public opinion polling institutes that were accredited by the Central Electoral Bureau to carry out these exit polls.
What is certain is that it is difficult for the PSD to form a pro-European government without the support of the center-right political parties, given that the Social Democrats would still need at least 24% to have a simple majority in the future Parliament.
• The largest voter turnout in the last 20 years
The parliamentary elections, held for the first time in the last 34 years on National Day (December 1), aroused great interest from citizens, both at home and abroad, with the turnout at polling stations increasing steadily throughout the day, reaching 23.37% at noon (1 p.m.) - that is, over 4.2 million citizens who had expressed their choice, after 4.44% at 9 a.m., double that of four years ago. The trend continued during the afternoon and evening, which led to a turnout of over 51% at 8 p.m., well above the last parliamentary election in 2020. In fact, it is the first time in the last 20 years, since 2004 when we joined NATO, that the turnout at parliamentary elections has reached and even exceeded 50%. According to statistical data on the website of the Permanent Electoral Authority, if the turnout in the parliamentary elections was 58.5% in 2004 (when, despite ranking first, the PSD-PUR Union failed to form the Government, the Justice and Truth Alliance PNL-PD co-opting the PUR "immoral solution" in the future Executive), in 2008 it dropped to 39.2%, after which in 2012 it rose slightly to 41.76% (when the elections were won by the USL - the alliance between the PSD, PNL, UNPR and the Conservative Party), after which it experienced a continuous decline. Thus, in the 2016 parliamentary elections won by the PSD led by Liviu Dragnea, 39.49% of citizens with the right to vote went to the polls, so that in 2020 - the year in which AUR entered Parliament - the turnout was only 31.95%.
After the Central Electoral Bureau completes the vote count, it will send a report to the Constitutional Court that will confirm the final result of the elections, the next stage being the establishment of the new Parliament. Immediately after the establishment and after the designation of the new leadership teams and the establishment of the composition of the permanent committees of the Chamber of Deputies and the Senate, the members of the future Government can be heard and the vote of investiture for the new Executive and for the government program can be granted in the plenary session of Parliament. Before this moment, however, the parties that obtain mandates in the new Parliament will be summoned by the president of the country to the Cotroceni Palace for consultations in order to designate a prime minister who will coagulate a governing coalition around him, which will have the majority of deputies and senators.
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