WHAT WAS AND WHAT WILL BE The blitzkrieg is losing steam

Just like all the actions which Dan Voiculescu gets involved in, the blitzkrieg to overthrow Băsescu from his chair in the Cotroceni was launched stupidly, at in an inopportune time and even though it had all the elements needed to succeed - a relatively good plan, popular support and two acceptable leaders, who were not excessively smudged - it is now losing steam, under international pressure, particularly that of the European Union, which is concerned that the means used have altered the "lawfulness" of our state.

What has been labeled the "blitzkrieg" of the USL by our media, was clearly intended to remove president Traian Băsescu (to claim that it was intended by the USL to seize the judicial system is mere speculation, as far as we are concerned, as long as the dismissed president doesn't produce evidence, or at least arguments in favor of this claim, but some hints in the media suggest there is a plan to prepare the public for the replacement of the heads of the judicial system, the Foreign Intelligence Service (SIE) and the Romanian Intelligence Service (SRI).

WHAT WAS

The algorithm of taking over the power had five steps:

July 3rd:- Ombudsman Gheorghe Iancu was dismissed and replaced by Valer Dorneanu, former PSD deputy; The purpose: the Ombudsman has the power to challenge government ordinances, such as the one which was issued to limit the powers of the Constitutional Court;

July 3rd: - Senate president Vasile Blaga and the president of the Chamber of Deputies, Roberta Anastase were dismissed and replaced by Crin Antonescu (PNL) and Valeriu Zgonea (PSD), respectively; The purpose: it is dual-pronged: 1) in order to suspend president Traian Băsescu there was a need to hold an extraordinary session and to include the topic on the agenda; 2) ...in order to promote Antonescu to the position which would allow him to replace Băsescu as interim president, after his suspension;

July 4rth: - The Government's ordinance to restrict the capabilities of the Constitutional Court; The purpose: it is a dual one: 1. to prevent the Constitutional Court from challenging the decision to suspend president Traian Băsescu; 2. to prevent the ability of the Court to note the unconstitutionality of the amendment of the Law concerning the Referendum;

July 5th: - The Government of Victor Ponta issues the Ordinance to amend the Referendum Law, eliminating the validity requirement for the Referendum which consisted of the participation of 50% plus one of the total number of voters; The purpose:: the USL considers that there is a majority which is hostile to president Băsescu, but is not sure at all whether that majority is big enough to allow it to meet the quorum requirements;

July 6th: - President Traian Băses-cu is suspended and replaced with Crin Antonescu, as interim president; The purpose: dismissing Băsescu.

WHAT WILL BE (2 VERSIONS)

The harsh reaction of the United States, Germany and the European Union, seems to have not been stupidly, not anticipated by the planning team, which is now forced to try and pull a fast one past the foreign and Romanian public opinion, which forces the leaders of the USL to do all kinds of juggling in their speeches, and to resort to double entendres, which are perceived as falsifying the truth (and resulting in their accelerated loss of credibility).

The severe pressure of the European Union to comply with the initial functions of the Constitutional Court and the relevance of its decisions has forced the USL to hesitate in sticking with its initial plan, as its leaders said that they agree with the requirement (hesitations are fatal in a "blitzkrieg").

Given the above, we have two alternatives for the future.

1) The fallback after the failure of the operation:

A. The USL sticks with its commitment to hold the referendum according to the rules of the quorum requirements which leads to the following results;

a) the quorum is met (in practice this isn't possible); Băsescu is dismissed; the voter turnout will be challenged, international observers note the fraud; we get seriously compromised as a country ruled by the law.

b) the quorum isn't met; Bă-ses-cu returns to the Cotroceni palace, but he will become politically irrelevant, due to the absence of being legitimized through the vote of the population, and gains the right to continue his mandate, through negotiations; the USL begs Antonescu not to resign and he doesn't; both sides are weakened, Romania is compromised internationally; the USL wins this autumn's elections, with a far weaker score than if it hadn't initiated the "blitzkrieg".

B. The USL does not honor the commitment to hold the Referendum according to the rules of the quorum requirements, which has the following consequence: we are screwed.

NOTA AUTORULUI

Please describe the good alternative which I haven't considered.